Democrats lead in all seven Senate battlegrounds polled by NYT/Siena, including Republican strongholds Texas and Kansas

Democratic Senate candidates are leading in all seven battleground states surveyed in the final New York Times/Siena College polls before Tuesday’s U.S. midterm elections, including Republican-leaning Texas and Kansas.

The poll showed Democrat James Talarico leading Republican Ken Paxton 50% to 43% in Texas, which has not elected a Democratic senator since 1988. In Kansas, Democrat Adam Hamilton led Republican Sen. Roger Marshall 49% to 44%; the state has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932.

Democrats also led in Michigan, Maine, Ohio, Alaska and Iowa. Abdul El-Sayed held the largest advantage, leading Republican Mike Rogers 53% to 42% in Michigan. Troy Jackson led Susan Collins 51% to 45% in Maine, while Sherrod Brown led Jon Husted 49% to 44% in Ohio.

Mary Peltola led Dan Sullivan 48% to 46% in Alaska, while Iowa was effectively tied, with Josh Turek at 48% and Ashley Hinson at 47%.

Across the seven states, only 38% of likely voters approved of President Donald Trump’s job performance. Democrats also held a nine-point advantage over Republicans on which party voters trusted more to address the cost of living and led among independent voters in every state surveyed.

The results still leave substantial uncertainty. Several races remain within their individual margins of error, which ranged from 3.4 points in Texas to 5 points in Alaska.

Siena Research Institute executive director Don Levy said Democratic control of the Senate was a “distinct possibility,” but cautioned that a majority for either party remained possible.